Legend Stake Logo

How No-Loss Prediction Works

This page explains Legend's no-loss prediction model, the end-to-end flow, mechanics, and what to expect at claim.

Core Principles

  • Principal protected: your stake is returned on both winning and non-winning selections
  • Yield redistribution: the yield generated during the lockup is shared among winners; there is no house counterparty
  • Market-driven indicators: multipliers and odds are informational estimates; final payouts follow contract logic
  • On-chain transparency: smart contracts on Base; outcomes based on official league publications
  • Short, event-based lockups: funds are committed until event resolution and protocol withdrawals complete

End-to-End Flow

  1. Connect wallet on Base
  2. Choose a No-loss prediction market
  3. Enter a USDC stake for one outcomes
  4. Confirm the transaction in your wallet
  5. Wait for event resolution and protocol withdrawal processing
  6. Claim your principal and any share of yield, then optionally restake

Mechanics (Simple)

  • During the lockup, pooled stakes are supplied to supported protocols (e.g., Aave) to generate yield
  • While the pool is open, each active stake accrues pool shares over time proportional to amount × time
  • After the outcome is declared, the total pool yield is split pro rata among the winning time‑weighted stake only
  • Your yield share is proportional to your fraction of the winning time‑weighted side

Formula (informational)

  • yourTimeWeightedStake = ∫(stakeAmount) dt over the pool‑open window you were staked
  • totalPoolYieldNet = totalPoolYieldGross − platformFees
  • shareOfYield = (yourTimeWeightedStake / totalWinningTimeWeightedStake) × totalPoolYieldNet
  • yourPayout = yourPrincipal + shareOfYield

Final Multiplier Lock

  • The final multiplier used at payout is the snapshot at pool close (match start)
  • The multiplier you saw when staking may differ; staking earlier accrues more time‑weighted shares

Claims & Timing

The process for claiming funds begins after the market has been resolved. For a detailed explanation of the settlement timeline and fees, please see our Claims & Settlement guide.

Data & Transparency

  • Results are based on official league publications and recorded on‑chain
  • Contracts are deployed on Base; links are shown in‑app for verification

Current Support

  • Network: Base
  • Token: USDC
  • Markets: a limited set of soccer markets while we ramp

Required Disclaimers

  • Principal returned on non‑winning selections; only yield is redistributed
  • Indicators are estimates and may change; final payouts are determined by smart contracts
  • Funds unlock after event resolution and any required protocol withdrawals